Economic and Game Theory
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Suppose I have a game in extensive form as follows. Player 1 moves first and chooses R, M or L. If he chooses R, the game ends. Otherwise, the game reaches a non-trivial inform[ation set of player 2. At this information set, player 2 chooses either action l or r. The payoffs (in normal form) are as follows: [Ll Lr Ml Mr Rl Rr] = =[4,1 0,0 3,0 0,1 2,2 2,2] The NE/SPNE are: (L,l), and (R,(q,1-q)) with q\in[0;1/2], the latter of which includes the pure strategy NE (R,r). Clearly (L,l) is PBE as long as the belief that player to plays L is larger than 0.5. Also, such beliefs are consistent because if l is played, L is best response which implies belief equals 1>0.5. For (R,r), the belief must be smaller than 0.5 for it to be PBE. Now, for the remainder partially randomised equilibria am not sure. I am reasoning that in order for player 2 to find it sequentially rational to mix between l and r, it must be that both l and r are sequentially rational (so that player 2 is indifferent), which implies that the belief is 1/2. Furthermore, the beliefs are consistent since in the partially randomised equilibria player 1 plays R and the information set of player 2 is off the equilibrium path (so any beliefs are consistent). Is this correct? Thank you in advance. [Manage messages] |